Charles Kenny

Books, Papers and Articles

A paper for the Global (Dis)Order international policy programme of the British Academy and Carnegie Endowment. Globally, we are past ‘peak baby’, and many countries are past peak working-age population. Richer economies are seeing plateauing education rates and rising demand for services. All these factors suggest slower growth in richer countries, combined with fewer export opportunities for poorer countries. We could still sustain global growth and convergence over the next 50 years through greater movement of people, but that makes the political economy of migration of central importance to the prospects of global prosperity over the next half century.

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